Note: In this ASCII version, characters such as sigma for summation will not display correctly. ______________________ * Use of Text/Notes is optional, but not needed * Psych 2101-Statistics ______________________ Exam 1 : 2/13/96 I. Multiple Choice: Choose the single best answer (2 points each)_______ 1. If the majority of students in this class know the material thoroughly -- sothoroughly that they know the answers to almost all the questions on this exam -- the distribution of exam scores will probably be a. Skewed positively XXb. Skewed negatively c. Normallydistributed 2. In a distribution of scores for which the mean =65.5, median=64 and mode=60, it was found that a mistake had been made on one score. Instead of 70, the score should have been 90. Consequently, which of the previously computed statistics shown above would certainly be incorrect? a. Median b. Mode XXc. Mean 3. The sum of deviation scores ( xi ) must equal 0 (within rounding error). The sum of squared deviation scores ( xi 2 ) a. is always positive b. is not equal to zero c. can be obtained by a shortcut XXd. (all of the above are true) 4. As in the statistical example from Sir Ronald Fisher (Lady Tasting Tea), it can a. be proved that she can discriminate XXb. not be proved beyond doubt that she can discriminate c. be demonstrated better that she can discriminate if fewer cups are used d. be shown that taking a 5% chance of being wrong is never acceptable 5. If Xi = 10, 11, 13; then X should be reported as a. 11.333333 b. 11.3333 XXc. 11.33 d. 11 6. If we are trying to estimate the (unknown) binomial population proportions, P and Q,by taking repeated samples from the population (with replacement), and computing thesample's proportions, p and q, then the best estimates we have for P and Q are a. the range of p and q from all the samples b. the inclusive range p and q from all the samples c. (p + q) / ã XXd. The mean p and q of the samples 7. What is a distribution called when it has two most-frequently occurring values? a. Skewed b. Medianic XXc. Bimodal d. Asymptotic 8. Skewness refers to the a. flatness or peakedness of a distribution b. heaviness of the tails of a distribution c. modality of a distribution XXd. lack of symmetry of a distribution 9. In a positively skewed distribution, XXa. The mean is going to be towards the right of the distribution b. Mean = Mode = Median c. The mean is going to be towards the left of the distribution d. Most of the scores will be located at the right-hand end of the distribution 10. In the new Boulder restaurant, Taco Bacanal, they also sell burritos. In one day, 33people tried the Burrito Bestial, 25 ordered a Burrito Playero, and the winner was theBurrito Parrandero, which was eaten by 55 pioneers. What is the appropriate graphicalrepresentation for this kind of data? XXa. Bar Graph b. Nomogram c. Frequency polygon d. Histogram 11. In a fair draw from a fair (bridge) deck of cards, what is the probability of drawing theQ ? a. 1/4 b. 1/13 XXc. 1/52 d. 1.0 12. What is the probability of drawing any ? a. 1/13 b. 1/52 XXc. 1/4 d. 1.0 13. If you draw a card, look at it, then replace it and draw one more, what is theprobability that both were red? a. 1/16 b. 1/8 XXc. 1/4 d. « 14. If you toss 4 coins, what is the probability that you will get 4 Heads? a. « b. 1/4 c. 1/8 XXd. 1/16 15. If you toss 4 coins, what is the probability that you will get 2 Heads? a. 2/16 b. 4/16 XXc. 6/16 d. 8/16 16. If the proportion P of white balls in an urn is .8 [i.e., P(W)=0.8] and the proportion Qof red balls is .2 [i.e., Q(R)=0.2], what is the probability of obtaining 5 white balls in five successive draws (use replacement)? a. .000327 b. .003276 c. .032768 XXd. .327680 17. Assuming a flat distribution of birthdays across the year, what is the probability of aperson's having a birthday in January of a non-leap year? a. 1/365 XXb. 31/365 c. 335/365 d. 62/365 18. Assume that you win the bet at the craps table if you throw a 7 on your first roll of the two dice. What is the probability of your throwing a 7 on your first try? a. 3/36 XXb. 6/36 c. 9/36 d. 10/36 19. If the road between you and your destination makes a Y 3 times, and you havecompletely forgotten the directions, what is the probability you will get there on your first try? a.1/2 b. 1/4 XXc. 1/8 d. 1/16 20. If there are 25000 people on campus, including a total of 500 redheads, and assumingthat redheads are free to go anywhere (I think they are), what is the probability that the next two people you randomly encounter on campus will be redheads? a. 1/50 XXb. 1/2500 c. 1/5000 d. 1/25000 II. Fill-in. Fill-in the blanks, as indicated. (Two points each) A special night is being held at the local dance club. It is called "Random Dancing." Each person is assigned a number, and all numbers are placed in a hat. You draw anumber from the hat, and that chooses your dance partner. After each slip is drawn, it isplaced back in the hat. Including yourself, there are 50 people in the dance club: 20 are men, 20 are women, and 10 are androgynous. Of these, 9 have purple hair, 6 have nose rings, 5 have multiple tatoos, and 2 have pierced tongues. Assume independence ofgender and attributes, unless otherwise indicated. You are the first person to pick fromthe hat. What is the probability that your first dance partner is 1. Yourself? ___ 2. Is a woman? ___ 3. Is a man with multiple tatoos? ___ 4. Is androgynous and with pierced tongue? ___ 5. Is either a man or someone with purple hair? ___ 6. Is an androgynous man? ___ Suppose that you are again the first person to pick from the hat for the second dance. What is the probability that: 7. You dance with the same person twice? ___ 8. You dance with a man the first time and a woman the second time? ___ 9. At least one of your partners had multiple tatoos? ___ 10. You will be home early? ___ III. Define the following and give an example of each (2 points each): 1. Ordinal scale - 2. Continuous variable - 3. Population - 4. Conditional probability - 5. Measure of Central Tendency - IV. True or False. (1 point each) T or F 1. When K is a constant, ä(Xi + K) = äXi + K T or F 2. When C is a constant, äCXi = CäXi T or F 3. äX = nX T or F 4. When C is a constant, äC = nC T or F 5. äXi2 = (äXi)2 V. Graphs etc. 1. The following data' describe the total number of parking tickets received in the last two years by a sample of medium-aged drivers: 6, 7, 4, 6, 1, 10, 7, 5, 8, 3 From these scores, make a frequency distribution using a class interval of 2, and then draw a histogram of the these grouped data (10 points) 2. If a plot of raw-score reaction times looked like this: Draw what a plot of deviation scores would look like, i.e., plot xi where xi = (Xi-) (5 points) 5| 4| X 3| X X X 2| X X X X X 1| X X X X X X X 0|____________________ .3 .4 .5 .6 Seconds 3. Students at the University of Colorado at Boulder were surveyed to estimate the extent of alcohol consumption among college age females and males. One question asked the respondents to indicate the numbers of beers/drinks each consumed each week, onaverage. From these responses, means for men and women were calculated, with the mean for men being 13.9 drinks per week (Range = 0 - 40), and for women, 7.5 drinks per week (Range = 0 -20). a. Is the mean the best measure of central tendency for these data? Explain your answer. (4 points) b. Given the further information that 50% of the women reported an average of 0 drinks per week, while only 10% of men reported 0 drinks per week, make a likely histogram for women, and for men, separately. (6 points)